Luck Index: Fumbling Yusuf Pathan costs Sunrisers the game

In the game of T20 cricket, every small error makes a big difference in the end. Kings XI Punjab's successful chase off the penultimate delivery against Sunrisers Hyderabad after having a few key luck factors proves the case. Cricday's Luck Index estimates how Kings XI got lucky from a few events in their innings and that lead to their victory.

The most important luck event in Kings XI's innings turned out to be the dropped catch of Mayank Agarwal in the 16th over by Yusuf Pathan. According to the Luck Index, the drop had an impact of eight runs for Kings XI. Mayank was on 40 off 36 before the drop and after the drop, he scored 15 off 7 balls.

The batsmen to follow were David Miller, Sarfaraz Khan and Mandeep Singh. Luck Index takes into account the quality of batsmen, their form and the overs remaining of the opposition bowlers, and then estimates the impact of the luck event. In this case, it estimated that had Mayank gotten out, those seven balls would have been faced by other batsmen to follow and they would have scored eight runs fewer than his. Thus, Pathan's easy drop basically cost Sunrisers the match in the end.

Other key luck events were two misfields in the final over. With 11 runs needed, any small error can make a big impact. In the first ball, Deepak Hooda's misfield allowed the batsmen to take two runs. And in the end, when two were needed of two, David Warner's fumble at long on once again allowed two runs.

Luck Index is a part of Superstats, a new set of metrics by Cricday to tell more enriching and insightful numbers-based stories. To know more about Superstats, click here.